Wednesday, August 28, 2019

8/28/19 Report - Hurricane Dorian Developments. 1860 Philadelphia Waterfront.


Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of treasurebeachesreport.blogspot.com.

Source: nhc.noaa.gov.
Like the main character in the 1890 novel, Dorian Gray, Tropical Storm Dorian seems to be turning somewhat uglier.  Now it looks like Dorian could skirt Puerto Rico and become a hurricane just east of the Bahamas chain.  The arrival time now looks like it will be Monday.

Now the National Hurricane Center map is showing the Dorian cone a little farther to the north than it was placed yesterday.  At least one model predicts it staying off the coast and not making landfall in Florida at all.  However another model has it crossing Florida and coming out in the Gulf.

Windy.com has it coming on shore right at St. Lucie and then crossing the state.

Source: Windy.com.
I really don't like that scenario.  It could possibly be a cat 2 hurricane at that point.

You can go to windy.com and run the animation for yourself.  It is listed to the left of the post on the first blog page.

The various models are all over the place though.  You can see them below.

Source: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_gefs_latest.png

To summarize the recent changes, the most recent predictions are for a stronger storm possibly hitting somewhere between Palm Beach and Jacksonville.   There is plenty of time for changes and the Treasure Coast is still well within the cone.


Source: MagicSeaWeed.com.

The surf predictions for the Treasure Coast have changed too.  Now they are saying we might have up to a seven foot surf, but only for a very brief time.   The wind direction isn't favorable - hardly any northeast winds.

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Philadelphia’s 18th-century waterfront emerges during archaeological dig on Columbus Boulevard
Shipbuilding on the site began with James West, who constructed a small shipyard around 1680. His descendants added to his holdings, building wharves and related structures northward along what was then the river bank, right off Water Street...

Here is that link.


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I'll keep watching developments.

Later,
TreasureGuide@comcast.net





https://www.inquirer.com/news/west-shipyard-riverfront-archaeology-durst-20190827.html