Written by the TreasureGuide for the exclusive use of treasurebeachesreport.blogspot.com.
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MagicSeaWeed.com.
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Above you can see the MagicSeaWeed surf predictions for the next few days. As you can see, they are expecting some high surf for two to three days.
There is a northeast wind for a while on Sunday, becoming a north/northwest wind Monday and then a west wind Tuesday.
We are also in a King Tide cycle. A spring tide—popularly known as a "King Tide"—refers to the 'springing forth' of the tide during new and full moon.
Overall, there is a good chance for significant erosion.
The current predicted path has the storm passing over Grand Bahamas and heading directly for Fort Pierce before it makes a turn north and up along the Florida Coast.
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8/31 5AM Cone.
Source: nhc.noaa.gov
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I just looked at the 8 AM update, and the new cone is so similar that I didn't bother to replace the 5 AM map.
The GFS model now shows a track farther east than the EDMWF model. What you see above is the National Hurricane Center's prediction, which takes the various models into account.
Now that they show the center remaining off-shore, don't get too complacent. We still have about a 50 percent chance of receiving hurricane force winds. As you've seen the past few days, this is far from an exact science. Things can, and probably will, change by the time this is all over.
The GFS model now shows a track farther east than the EDMWF model. What you see above is the National Hurricane Center's prediction, which takes the various models into account.
Now that they show the center remaining off-shore, don't get too complacent. We still have about a 50 percent chance of receiving hurricane force winds. As you've seen the past few days, this is far from an exact science. Things can, and probably will, change by the time this is all over.
Hopefully, you have made your preparations and have a plan for your family.
Do not be overly comfortable or confident. Dorian is huge and could still come ashore anywhere. Most of Florida remains in the cone. The winds near the center are 145 mph as I write this. Hopefully we won't get anything that strong. That can blow roofs right off.
Do not be overly comfortable or confident. Dorian is huge and could still come ashore anywhere. Most of Florida remains in the cone. The winds near the center are 145 mph as I write this. Hopefully we won't get anything that strong. That can blow roofs right off.
As the storm approaches the coast, we'll get some north winds, but after it turns north, we'll be on the south side of it and the winds will start to become west winds. That is if the track remains as shown above.
I'd expect some big storm surges up in the north of Florida and Georgia.
There will be strong winds and a high surf. Be careful. I've described many of the dangers before. You could encounter a lot of debris in the surf, including trees, logs and other things that could knock you off your feet. I've seen people get knocked over, and I've seen people lose their metal detector to the surf. DON'T get caught between a cliff and big wave smashing into it.
Get your preparations done. Get your equipment charged and in good order. You'll want to be prepared for rain and blowing surf as well as wind.
That is all for now.
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11 O'clock Update.
The eleven o'clock update is in and the NHC cone and track of Dorian remains almost the same as the previous one.
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There will be strong winds and a high surf. Be careful. I've described many of the dangers before. You could encounter a lot of debris in the surf, including trees, logs and other things that could knock you off your feet. I've seen people get knocked over, and I've seen people lose their metal detector to the surf. DON'T get caught between a cliff and big wave smashing into it.
Get your preparations done. Get your equipment charged and in good order. You'll want to be prepared for rain and blowing surf as well as wind.
That is all for now.
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11 O'clock Update.
The eleven o'clock update is in and the NHC cone and track of Dorian remains almost the same as the previous one.
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Stay safe,
TreasureGuide@comcast.net
