Monday, August 1, 2011

8/1/11 Report - Big Seas Predicted

Possible Tracks of Latest Tropical Storm Emily

This wave has not been named yet, but if it does develop into a tropical storm, it will be named Emily. It is now east of Martinique.

Yesterday NOAA said it had a 100% chance of developing into a cyclone, but today only 90%. When they sent out the hurricane tracker plane it wasn't as developed as previously thought. It will probably still develop.

I heard that if it remains weak, it will more likely take a more southerly track and possibly go into the Gulf, but if it strengthens considerably, more likely out into the Atlantic.

This one bears watching. There is still a lot of uncertainty about what it might do.

Here is the link where I got the projected paths.

The blog survey has changed a bit since the first few days. Generally speaking, the bigger the sample, the more reliable the results.

Yesterday I talked a little about the Canadian coins that are often found on Florida beaches where many Canadians winter.

Here is a link to a web site that discusses some of the most valuable Canadian coins.

I ran across a great web site about the historic shipwrecks around England. It provides a map with wreck locations as well as information about each of the wrecks.

Here is the link.

The web site also shows two wrecks that are visible at low tide and accessible to non-divers.

An Encrusted Penny and Nickel.

I couldn't tell what these were until they were cleaned. Any coins that have apparently been on the beach for a while can be signal coins that tell you that older items are there and are either washing up or out.

Treasure Coast Beach Forecast and Conditions.

The wind is now out of the south and the seas still calm. However - and here is the really big news - big seas are predicted for this weekend. Saturday it is supposed to get up to about six or seven feet and then eight feet Sunday. That would be from Emily.

That is the most that we have had for quite a while. I can't really remember the last time we had eight foot seas.

It usually takes about eight foot seas to really improve conditions. It depends partly upon the angle of the waves though. If the waves hit directly from the east it usually doesn't do much. The water just washes up onto the beach and then back down. That is what happened during hurricane Andrew. There was very little, and almost no erosion to the South Florida beaches from Hurricane Andrew even though the water got very high.

So if we get eight foot seas coming from the north/northeast, conditions could improve dramatically. We'll just have to wait a little longer. But keep a watch on this one.

Get your equipment in good order This could be what we've been waiting for.

Happy hunting,