Tuesday, August 2, 2011

8/2/11 Report - More on Emily, How Often People Detect the TC Lately, & Steamship New Albany

Projected Path of Emily.

Emily is now a named storm. As you can see Florida is within the cone. That is according to the 5:00 AM Tuesday forecast.

The center of the storm is now projected to be just off the coast. "Storm" is the key word. Emily is not strengthening quickly, and is now projected to be a tropical storm, not a hurricane, when she reaches our area on Saturday.

She is expected to pass over Hispaniola, which will slow the rate of strengthening. I believe that could also cause some wobbling from the projected path.

If Emily goes as now projected, the entire coast should get some good waves, and hopefully not hurricane force winds. Strangely, though, the surf web site that predicted eight foot seas for the weekend yesterday, are now showing nothing but 1.5 seas all the way through the weekend. I find that very hard to believe considering the predicted path of Emily. I've expressed some doubts about those surf web site predictions in the past. Of course we are still a few days out and they might change their predictions by the weekend.

For me, I would expect to see some good waves if the path of Emily goes as NOAA is now predicting.

As I've mentioned before, but it doesn't take a hurricane to really rip the beaches. The angle of the waves is important, as is the duration.

I would expect to see northeast wind and waves for only part of a day. It looks like Emily will pass us relatively quickly rather than lingering around.

As you know, a cyclone turns around a center, so as it passes over, we'll first get the wind from one direction and then the opposite direction. The beach could erode and then fill in again. It all depends upon a lot of different factors.

Maybe things will be clearer in a couple of days. I wouldn't be surprised if this thing weakens or change path after it goes over Hispaniola.

I'll keep you up to date on any significant changes. So far nothing has changed.

I might post an update to this post if the predictions change before tomorrow.

The most recent blog survey has concluded and the results are in.

The percentages changed a bit during the course of the survey. It seems the first respondents were more of the people who weren't detecting very often on the Treasure Coast. I guess that makes sense. A lot of the snow birds and people from outside the Treasure Coast read the blog so they know what is going on and to know when they should make the trip. They are the ones that aren't detecting the Treasure Coast very often.

The final results show that 17% of the respondents have been detecting twice or week or more. That shows that there are a lot of hard core detectorists on the Treasure Coast that aren't letting the heat, mosquitoes, or poor conditions deter them. It also means that some of the best beaches are getting cleaned on a regular basis.

A little over one quarter of the respondents detect Treasure Coast beaches a few times a month, between once a month to once a week.

And 53% have not detected Treasure Coast beaches in the last month. Again, we have a lot of snow bird readers as well as readers from other parts of the state that probably make up most of those. And there are probably some people that are only interested in treasure coins and only detect the Treasure Coast beaches when conditions improve.

1860s Square Nail From Steamship. Clipped Photo from BastropEnterprise.com

This nail is one of those types of find that could easily be a signal find that points you to something bigger and may help you identify the age of the site and other items found in the area. It comes from what archaeologists believe might be the New Albany, a steamship that was lost in the 1860s.

The steamship was recently exposed in Bayou Bartholomew by a drought. It is now submerged again.

Here is the link to the original article.


Changes in weather conditions often provide opportunities, whether it is drought, high water, or something else.

In the past I've reminded you to check the banks of waterways during droughts. You never know what might catch your eye.

Keep tuned to see what Emily might do.

Happy hunting,